WEEKLY FANTASY PICKS: Find out the best buys for your Fantasy NASCAR team

Sarah Glenn/NASCAR via Getty Images

By Steve Young – @Stevietpfl


HAMPTON, Ga. – Before I dive into the picks this week, I just want to say thank you to everyone who reached out to me on twitter last week. I’m really glad we got the season started on the right foot. This weekend NASCAR will be using the new low downforce aero package. We will be relying a lot on Darlington and Kentucky from last season, and you really want to pay attention to 10-lap times in final practice.

Last week we targeted guys starting towards the back. While it’s always good to get place differential points, you also have to target guys you think will lead laps. Guys running out front will have clean air, and it’s very likely that a lot of fastest laps come from the front.

Kyle Busch – $10,100 – There’s a lot going on at this top tier this weekend, but Busch is a must-play for me in all formats. He’s starting last, and really can only go up this weekend. I expect him to be in the top ten before half way on Sunday. Busch dominated the race at Kentucky last year, and ran really well at Darlington. He’s my top overall target this weekend, but I do like Logano and Harvick as well. Logano has a ton of upside starting towards the back, and Harvick should make fast work on the guys starting in front of him.

Carl Edwards – $9,600 – We had his teammate in this spot last weekend, and Edwards is a guy that could easily win this race. He won the race at Darlington, and had an average running position of 6.71 at Kentucky. He’s been very vocal about liking this package, and Vegas has him at 9/1 to win the race on Sunday. I’m expecting Edwards to run in the top ten a lot on Sunday. I don’t mind Truex in this price range as well, and I actually could see Truex being lower owned than Edwards this weekend. Kurt Busch is also in play here, he has a lot of laps led potential at the beginning of this race.

Kyle Larson – $8,300 –Larson is a guy that I will be targeting a lot on Sunday, and I think he’s going to benefit a ton from this package. He comes from a lot of success in open-wheel cars, and that could really benefit him with this low downforce. He ran well at Darlington and Kentucky, but had some bad luck in the second half of the Kentucky race. He’s one of my favorite plays for place differential this weekend, and I wouldn’t be shocked if he finishes in the top ten.

Aric Almirola – $6,600 – Almirola is going to be mentioned a lot in this article, and for some reason he continues to stay under priced. He’s coming off back-to-back good runs here at Atlanta, and finished in the top twenty in nine of twelve intermediate races in 2015. Starting 27th makes him a great value play this weekend, and a guy that I’m going to have on a lot of my teams. He finished 12th at Kentucky, then followed that up with a 11th place finish at Darlington.

Ty Dillon – $5,600 – I don’t like a lot of guys in the 5k price range this weekend, but I do like Dillon’s chances to finish in the top twenty. In a surprise visit, Tony Stewart was at the track on Friday, and has been coaching Dillon a lot. Dillon is no stranger to Atlanta, and he’s finished in the top ten in both career XFINITY races here. He has three career starts at intermediate tracks in the NASCAR series, and he’s finished 26th or better in all of those races. Nobody in this price range has the equipment that Dillon has this weekend, and I really like his chances for a top twenty finish on Sunday.

If you have any questions, please feel free to hit me up on twitter @Stevietpfl.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *