So Good, These Fantasy Picks Should be Etched In Granite

Photo by Getty Images via NASCAR

By Steve Young, @Stevietpfl

NASCAR heads to the northeast this weekend, and we have the New Hampshire 301. This weekend it’s going to be about staying on the lead lap, and track position is going to be very important. I’m going to target one to two dominator drivers in cash games this weekend. I think we have some great value plays starting towards the back, and it’s really easy to fit in some of these top drivers. Jimmie Johnson is going to be the real test of clean air. He’s really struggled at this track lately, and it will be interesting to see if he can stay out front with the JGR train behind him.

Kyle Busch – $10,500 – Kyle Busch is my guy this weekend, and I’m going to be playing him in all formats. With Busch starting second, I like his chances to get out in front of Johnson early in this race. Take away the issue he had in September last year, and he has finished second or better in four of five races with a win. Busch has the second most fantasy points in three straight spring races here at New Hampshire. JGR is showing a lot of speed this weekend, and I think the Toyotas will be out front for most the day.

Matt Kenseth – $9,100 – I’m a big fan of Kenseth this weekend, and I feel like we get him at a nice discount. Kenseth struggled in qualifying and will be rolling off 18th on Sunday. Since joining JGR, Kenseth has five top ten finishes in six races at New Hampshire. In two of those six races, Kenseth has rolled into Gatorade Victory lane. Kenseth comes in with an average finish of 9.62 over his last 13 1-mile races. In final practice on Saturday, Kenseth had the third fastest 10-lap time, and I’m expecting him to move up.

Ryan Newman – $7,700 – Newman improved in final practice, and I like his chances to move up from his starting spot this weekend. Newman has the 8th highest driver rating among active drivers at New Hampshire. On top of that impressive number, he comes in with an average finish of 14.5 over the last ten here. Starting 25th, track position will be important this weekend, but Newman has proven he can move through the field here. He has the fourth highest quality pass percentage among active drivers. While that doesn’t result in fantasy points anymore, it’s still a good indication of a driver able to move through the field.

Clint Bowyer – $7,000 – Bowyer is having a frustrating season, and he can’t wait to get in Stewart’s car next year. His average finish is 22.67 over the last six races this season, and he provides solid place differential this weekend. If you take away the electrical issue at Sonoma, he has finished 23rd or better in eight straight races. Because of his equipment, I still don’t think he’s safe, but I think he’s a much better option than Bayne. Dover is a 1-mile track like New Hampshire, while they’re different for sure, Bowyer picked up a 12th place finish at Dover in May. I really like his chances for a good weekend, and I’m going to use him in cash games.

Greg Biffle – $6,600 – Biffle had a very rough start to the season, but he’s starting to turn it around. He comes in with back-to-back top ten finishes, and top twenty finishes in five of his last six. Biffle has a lot of experience here at New Hampshire, and has a career average finish of 15.67. At his price, I would lock him into every lineup if he hit his career average finish here. With his starting spot of 28th, Biffle would score 40+ fantasy points with a top 15 finish this weekend. If you want a save option, Biffle has finished 27th or better in 15 straight races at New Hampshire.

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