Fantasy NASCAR: Weekly winners for the Tricky Triangle

By Steve Young, @stevietpfl

I’m happy to be back this weekend, and I’m glad the cold I had is gone. This weekend we head back to Pocono, and this will be the second race we’ve had here this season. The weather is very similar to the June race, and I do think that data is usable this weekend. With only 160 laps this weekend, place differential is going to be the key to picking the winning lineup. In cash games, I’m going to focus on 1-2 dominators, and load up on 4-5 guys that can score place differential and a good finish.

Martin Truex Jr. – $10,200 – Truex has a great chance to lead a lot of laps this weekend, and should score the most dominator points. His history here can be thrown out the window, and we’ve seen a completely different driver/team over the last year and a half. Truex won this race last June and led 97 of the 160 laps on the way to that victory. We’ve seen all year how important clean air is, and Truex gets a massive bump starting on the pole. If you need anymore reasons, Truex was the fastest car in final practice on Saturday.

Kevin Harvick – $10,400 – Harvick’s qualifying struggles continued on Friday, and he will start 17th on Sunday. Harvick averages 11 more DK points than any other driver this year, and he always finds his way into the top ten. He has eight top-ten finishes in the last ten races, and an average finish of 8.55 this season. He finished 42nd in this race last August, but he had engine issues early. He’s finished ninth or better in three of the last four, and two of those races he finished second. Not a lot of drivers ran 10-lap times in final practice, but Harvick was third-fastest out of 17 drivers who did.

Kurt Busch – $8,900 – Kurt is simply way too cheap this weekend, and I love the fact that he’s starting 15th. He comes in with six top fives in the last ten races here at Pocono including a win in the June race here. It’s tough to pass at Pocono, but Kurt has the highest quality pass percentage among active drivers at Pocono. He’s figured out the tricky triangle, and he comes in with the highest driver rating outside of Elliott who only has one race here. Kurt is a very solid play this weekend, and a driver that I will be playing in a lot of my lineups.

Jeff Gordon – $8,800 – Gordon made his return to action last weekend, and was consistent all race, which honestly shouldn’t shock anyone. Pocono has always been one of his best tracks, and he’s a very solid option this weekend. He has seven top ten finishes in his last ten races here at Pocono. In 46 career races here, he has an average finish of 9.8. He runs a lot of his laps in the top 15%, and should be able to finish high enough to score him solid place differential.

Trevor Bayne – $6,400 – Bayne has quietly been a solid fantasy option lately and comes in with an average finish of 17.83 over the last six races. He’s starting 31st this weekend, and presents some solid value at this price tag. In three career races at Pocono, Bayne has finished 13th, 40th, and 24th. In August of 2015, Bayne finished 40th because the car was overheating. He’s scored solid place differential in the other two races, and finished 13th here earlier this year. I’m usually the first person to pick on Bayne, but he’s a very solid value option this weekend.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *