COLUMN: Loading Up On Denny Hamlin At Richmond Raceway

By Jerry Jordan, Editor

Richmond Raceway is one of the best short tracks that NASCAR has on its schedule and when it comes to getting around the three-quarter-mile track, there are two drivers whose names are consistently at the top of the leaderboard – Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. And I am bettin’ on Denny Hamlin.

Yes, Busch has a slightly higher driver’s rating than Hamlin. Yes, Busch has more green-flag passes at Richmond than Hamlin. However, Hamlin has led more laps (2,108 to 1,528) than Busch has at Richmond, which is why he hasn’t passed as many cars under green. He’s been busy pacing the field with the fastest laps of any driver in the series.

Pumping the brakes just a little, Busch does have more wins – six to Hamlin’s three – but Hamlin lays it on the line always going hard for the win, which is why his average finish is 8.8 compared to Busch’s 6.9. However, we are talking about betting so there is another stat that comes into play and thanks to our friends at the WynnBET Sportsbook, you can get bonus “boost” action on betting Hamlin to win this week. It’s a bet you can only make with WynnBET Sportsbook.

Hamlin boost bet

Also, it’s a big weekend for the folks at the WynnBET Sportsbook as they kick off their partnership activation with NASCAR as they serve as the official sports betting outlet with a display stage and activation in the Fan Zone. YES! If you are at the track, you can visit their display, download the WynnBET Sportsbook app, maybe get some swag and place your bets as you head to your seats.

Wynnbet swag scaled
Photo by Seth Eggert/Kickin’ the Tires

Per the WynnBET Sportsbook oddsmakers, Hamlin is a race day favorite at 10 to 1 or +1000. But, there are bonus odds on Hamlin and a “win” bet for him pushes his odds up to 15 to 1 or +1500. What does that mean? Well, rather than getting $50 back on a $5 bet, bettors can get $75 back on a $5 bet. Remember, if you win any bet, you also get your original wager returned to you.

Moving down the odds chart, the mid-level value bet based on performance and odds right now would have to be Alex Bowman. He Is coming off of a second-place finish at Circuit of the Americas last week in Austin, Tx. where he should have won the race. He was upset after the race, even admitting that he should be happy with his run but he knew the trophy slipped out of his grasp when he got nearly taken out on the final lap as Ross Chastain and A.J. Allmendinger battled.

Alex bowman richmond
Photo by NKP

Bowman already has one win this season and he wants to add to the total, which would put him ahead of his Hendrick Motorsports teammates. The WynnBET Sportsbook oddsmakers have Bowman at 16 to 1 or +1600 and those are good numbers. Early odds had Bowman at 17 to 1 or +1700 but bettors seemed to realize his value and began putting more money on him, which moved him closer to a favorite pick. Remember, Bowman won the Toyota Owners 400 last year so he knows how to find Victory Lane at the newly remodeled Richmond Raceway.

Now, looking at the longshot pick of the week, there are a lot of options but when bettin’ a longshot, you need to be reasonable. Picking a driver, who is 1,500 to 1 or 2,000 to 1 to win, isn’t the smartest play on the board. If you have the minimum to throw away on a lightning strike, maybe, do it for fun but don’t expect to win. 

On the other hand, when you have a driver in the 100 to 1 or +1000 range, they are in top-level equipment and have proven they can run at the front, it’s a chance worth taking, albeit conservatively. Don’t go loading up on this next pick but I like Cole Custer for the longshot win. Custer did get a win in the Xfinity Series at Richmond Raceway in 2019. He also starts in 12th, one spot ahead of Hamlin.

Earlier in the week, Custer was a 100 to 1 or +10000 bet but his odds changed over the past three days. Going into the race he is at 80 to 1 or +8000 and must have done something to attract the attention of the WynnBET oddsmakers. Custer hasn’t performed the greatest, so far, this season but his finishes don’t tell the whole store. Stewart-Haas Racing is behind, as a whole, but they have also had some bad luck. Look for this entire organization to start making headway in the points.

Custer isn’t the only decent longshot pick if you want to try and play the odds with a cheap bet. I also like Kurt Busch at 45 to 1 or +4500, A.J. Allmendinger at 55 to 1 or +5500 and Daniel Suarez at 35 to 1 or +3500. The allure of betting on NASCAR is that you can make a few minimum bets and get a sizeable return should you hit a winner and offset your losses.

Remember, my suggestions are based on what I see at the track and from past performances by drivers. It’s called gambling for a reason and there is no guarantee the drivers I pick will end up in victory lane. If you can’t afford to bet, then don’t. And if you aren’t 21 years of age, you cannot legally gamble, so don’t even think about it. Should you have a problem with sports betting or other forms of gaming, you can get help at 1-800-GAMBLER.

WynnBET Sportsbook Odds        
Toyota Owners 400

Richmond Raceway

Driver: Early Odds   Driver: Race Odds
Chase Elliott 850   Kyle Larson 750
Martin Truex Jr 900   Ryan Blaney 750
Joey Logano 1000   Martin Truex Jr 800
Kyle Busch 1000   William Byron 800
Kyle Larson 1000   Chase Elliott 850
Denny Hamlin 1100   Kyle Busch 900
William Byron 1100   Denny Hamlin 1000
Ross Chastain 1200   Joey Logano 1000
Tyler Reddick 1200   Christopher Bell 1200
Ryan Blaney 1300   Ross Chastain 1200
Christopher Bell 1400   Chase Briscoe 1400
Harrison Burton 1500   Kevin Harvick 1400
Alex Bowman 1700   Tyler Reddick 1400
Kevin Harvick 1800   Alex Bowman 1600
Chase Briscoe 1900   Aric Almirola 2500
Daniel Suarez 2800   Erik Jones 2800
Aric Almirola 3000   Daniel Suarez 3500
Austin Cindric 4000   Austin Cindric 4000
Austin Dillon 4000   Austin Dillon 4000
Kurt Busch 4500   Kurt Busch 4500
Erik Jones 5000   A J Allmendinger 5500
A J Allmendinger 6000   Brad Keselowski 6000
Brad Keselowski 6600   Chris Buescher 8000
Cole Custer 10000   Cole Custer 8000
Chris Buescher 12500   Darrell Wallace Jr 15000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 12500   Justin Haley 20000
Darrell Wallace Jr 15000   Ricky Stenhouse Jr 20000
Justin Haley 15000   Harrison Burton 35000
Todd Gilliland 25000   Michael Mcdowell 40000
Corey Lajoie 35000   TY Dillon 50000
Michael Mcdowell 35000   Todd Gilliland 50000
TY Dillon 50000   Corey Lajoie 60000
Greg Biffle 60000   Greg Biffle 100000
B J Mcleod 100000   Landon Cassill 100000
Cody Ware 100000   Andy Lally 150000
Garrett Smithley 100000   B J Mcleod 150000
Landon Cassill 100000   Cody Ware 150000
Andy Lally 150000   Garrett Smithley 200000

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