Playoff Points: Dover Edition

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By Aaron Bearden, Motorsports Editor

Following each regular season points race, Kickin’ the Tires takes a deep look at the current playoff grids for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, evaluating each team’s postseason odds and highlighting those that made steps in the right direction, as well as those who dug themselves into a hole. 

Track: Dover International Speedway

Event: AAA 400 Drive for Autism

Race Winner: Kevin Harvick

Stage Winner(s): Kevin Harvick (Won Both Stages)

Who Won Big

  • Kevin Harvick: Going into 2018, Harvick hadn’t won more than five races in any full season. This year the Stewart-Haas Racing veteran has four wins in 11 races, with 25 events to match – and likely surpass – his best season win total.
  • Daniel Suarez: With Harvick and Kyle Busch dominating the Cup schedule, there’s a strong chance that a host of drivers make the playoffs on points. That made Suarez’s third-place run at Dover all the more important, as the sophomore trails 15th-place Chase Elliott by just seven points for the final spot in the current postseason field.
  • Jimmie Johnson: Make no mistake – Johnson wanted a win in Dover. But his ninth-place run continued a positive streak that’s seen the seven-time Cup champion rise to 12th in the series standings.

Who Hurt Their Odds

  • Paul Menard: The Wood Brothers Racing veteran seemed poised for a good run in Delaware, but mechanical issues relegated him to a 34th-place result. Now the 2011 Brickyard 400 winner sits 32 points out of the playoff field in 21st.
  • Ryan Newman: As he showed in his resilient 2014 playoff run, Newman makes his gains with consistency. It’s because of that fact that his 33rd-place finish – a result that dropped to Hoosier to 20th in the standings – hurt his playoff odds so greatly.

Playoff Standings: 

RankDriverWinsPointsPoints Ahead/Behind
1Kyle Busch3466227
3Kevin Harvick4**426187
2Joey Logano1444205
4Clint Bowyer1380141
9Martin Truex Jr.1340101
19Austin Dillon1221-18
5Brad Keselowski0365126
6Kurt Busch0358119
7Ryan Blaney0346107
8Denny Hamlin0344105
10Kyle Larson030768
11Aric Almirola030465
12Jimmie Johnson026829
13Erik Jones025314
14Alex Bowman025213
15Chase Elliott02412
Playoff Cutoff
16Ricky Stenhouse Jr.0239-2
17Daniel Suarez0234-7
18William Byron0225-16
20Ryan Newman0218-23
21Paul Menard0209-32
22Darrell Wallace Jr.0193-48
23Jamie McMurray0188-53
24A.J. Allmendinger0179-62
25Chris Buescher0173-68
26David Ragan0167-74
27Kasey Kahne0149-92
28Ty Dillon0147-94
29Trevor Bayne0145-96
30Michael McDowell0141-100

*Technically ineligible due to missed races. Would require a waiver.
**One or more race wins ineligible due to post-race inspection failures.

Where They Stand

(All But) Locked In

  • Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, Clint Bowyer, Martin Truex Jr., Austin Dillon
    • Race Winners

Safe (For Now)

  • Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Aric Almirola

More Work to Do

On the Bubble

  • Jimmie Johnson, Erik Jones, Alex Bowman, Chase Elliott

Within Reach 

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Daniel Suarez, William Byron, Ryan Newman, Paul Menard, Darrell Wallace Jr., Jamie McMurray

Likely Need to Win

  • A.J. Allmendinger, Chris Buescher, David Ragan, Kasey Kahne, Ty Dillon, Trevor Bayne, Michael McDowell

Playoff Points

Potential Playoff Points Earned On-Track
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Kevin Harvick19
2Kyle Busch17
3 (tie)Martin Truex Jr.7
3 (tie)Joey Logano7
5 (tie)Austin Dillon5
5 (tie)Clint Bowyer5
7Brad Keselowski4
8 (tie)Kurt Busch2
8 (tie)Ryan Blaney2
10 (tie)Denny Hamlin1
10 (tie)Paul Menard1
2ea37483e8b2e8a306e588d717f366b2 1
Kevin Harvick’s has reasons to live up to his “Happy” nickname this year. He’s been dominant. (Photo: Rusty Jarrett/NKP)
Playoff Points if Playoffs Started Today
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Kyle Busch32
2Kevin Harvick27
3Joey Logano17
4Clint Bowyer12
5Brad Keselowski10
6Martin Truex Jr.9
7Kurt Busch7
8Ryan Blaney6
9Austin Dillon5
10Denny Hamlin4
11Kyle Larson1

Stage Points

Previous Race Results

Stage 1Stage 2
Pos.DriverPointsPos.DriverPoints
1Kevin Harvick10 (+1 Playoff Point)1Kevin Harvick10 (+1 Playoff Point)
2Kyle Busch92Brad Keselowski9
3Brad Keselowski83Kyle Busch8
4Daniel Suarez74Jimmie Johnson7
5Kurt Busch65Clint Bowyer6
6Chase Elliott56Daniel Suarez5
7Clint Bowyer47Martin Truex Jr.4
8Jimmie Johnson38Ryan Blaney3
9Joey Logano29Chase Elliott2
10Ryan Blaney110Joey Logano1

Season Totals

PositionDriverTotalsStage Wins
1Kyle Busch1332
2Brad Keselowski1304
3Kevin Harvick1076*
4Joey Logano1042
5Kurt Busch952
6Martin Truex Jr.762
7Clint Bowyer750
8Ryan Blaney672
9Kyle Larson600
10Denny Hamlin531
11Jimmie Johnson390
12Ricky Stenhouse Jr.350
13 (tie)Aric Almirola310
13 (tie)Chase Elliott310
15Paul Menard281
16Erik Jones230
17A.J. Allmendinger200
18Michael McDowell170
19William Byron160
20 (tie)Alex Bowman130
20 (tie)Ryan Newman130
20 (tie)Daniel Suarez130
23Austin Dillon70
24 (tie)Ty Dillon50
24 (tie)Darrell Wallace Jr.50
24 (tie)David Ragan50
27Jamie McMurray40
28Trevor Bayne30
29Kasey Kahne20

*One or more stage wins ineligible due to post-race inspection failures

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