Playoff Points: Bristol Edition

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By Aaron Bearden, Motorsports Editor

Following each regular season points race, Kickin’ the Tires takes a deep look at the current playoff grids for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, evaluating each team’s postseason odds and highlighting those that made steps in the right direction, as well as those who dug themselves into a hole. 

Track: Bristol Motor Speedway

Event: Food City 500

Race Winner: Kyle Busch

Stage Winner(s): Brad Keselowski (Won Both Stages)

Who Won Big

  • Kyle Busch: The last six races have gone about as well as possible for Busch. His 1.83 average finish during the stint is easily the best in NASCAR, and his two wins and points lead mean he’s positioned as well as anyone to enter the postseason with a host of playoff points.
  • Brad Keselowski: Early hopes for a victory ultimately faded as Keselowski dropped to a 23rd-place finish. But beforehand the Michigander tallied two stage wins, earning a pair of playoff points to carry into the postseason.
  • Alex Bowman and Jimmie Johnson: The Hendrick Motorsports pair of Bowman and Johnson each managed impressive top-five showings at Bristol, rising to 13th and 17th in the standings, respectively. Bowman holds a 21-point edge on the playoff bubble, while Johnson finds himself within a lone point of the top 16.
  • Aric Almirola: A sixth-place finish – his highest to date with Stewart-Haas Racing – helped Almirola jump up to 11th in the standings, with a 42-point edge on the bubble.
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Much like Almirola, Stenhouse helped his cause with a strong Bristol run. The Mississippi native finished fourth at The Last Great Colosseum, rising up to 18th in the standings as a result.

Who Hurt Their Odds

  • Chase Elliott: Now in his third year, Elliott is going through his toughest stint to date in the Cup Series. The Georgian dropped to 23rd in the standings after his involvement in a Lap 3 crash at Bristol, and he sits a full 34 points outside the top 16. The season is still young, but Elliott needs to bounce back soon if he wants to overcome two early penalties and rise back into the top 16.
  • Ryan Blaney and Martin Truex Jr.: Both Blaney and Truex figure to be playoff contenders this season, which makes runs like their crash-outs in Bristol more painful. The pair fell to sixth (Blaney) and seventh (Truex) in the standings after the DNFs, a drop notable due to the loss in potential playoff points.
  • Kasey Kahne: The Leavine-Family Racing No. 95 Chevrolet looked strong early on, with Kahne running inside of the top 10. That made it all the more heart-wrenching when the Washington native fell out of the race early and finished 24th, dropping him even further away from the playoff grid in 29th. He’ll likely need a win to make the playoff field for a second-consecutive season.

Playoff Standings: 

RankDriverWinsPointsPoints Ahead/Behind
1Kyle Busch2365196
3Kevin Harvick3**290121
4Clint Bowyer1286117
7Martin Truex Jr.125788
14Austin Dillon118314
2Joey Logano0306137
5Brad Keselowski0271102
6Ryan Blaney026798
8Denny Hamlin025283
9Kyle Larson024980
10Kurt Busch024172
11Aric Almirola021142
12Erik Jones020940
13Alex Bowman019021
15Ryan Newman018112
16Paul Menard01701
Playoff Cutoff
17Jimmie Johnson0169-1
18Ricky Stenhouse Jr.0162-8
19William Byron0154-16
20A.J. Allmendinger0150-20
21Darrell Wallace Jr.0148-22
22Jamie McMurray0140-30
23Chase Elliott0136-34
24Daniel Suarez0134-36
25Chris Buescher0119-51
26David Ragan0117-53
27Michael McDowell0115-55
28Trevor Bayne0110-60
29Kasey Kahne0101-69
30Ty Dillon095-75

*Technically ineligible due to missed races. Would require a waiver.
**One or more race wins ineligible due to post-race inspection failures.

Where They Stand

E6863acfead0edb23923ea80ca7d3e62 1
Kyle Busch scored his second-straight win, both on the year and at Bristol Motor Speedway. (Photo: NKP)

(All But) Locked In

  • Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr., Clint Bowyer, Austin Dillon
    • Race Winners

Safe (For Now)

  • Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, Ryan Blaney, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Kurt Busch

More Work to Do

  • Aric Almirola, Erik Jones

On the Bubble

  • Alex Bowman, Ryan Newman, Paul Menard

Within Reach 

  • Jimmie Johnson, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., William Byron, A.J. Allmendinger, Darrell Wallace Jr., Jamie McMurray, Chase Elliott, Daniel Suarez

Likely Need to Win

  • Chris Buescher, David Ragan, Michael McDowell, Trevor Bayne, Kasey Kahne, Ty Dillon

Playoff Points

Potential Playoff Points Earned On-Track
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1 (tie)Kyle Busch12
1 (tie)Kevin Harvick12
3Martin Truex Jr.7
4 (tie)Austin Dillon5
4 (tie)Clint Bowyer5
6Brad Keselowski3
7 (tie)Kurt Busch2
7 (tie)Ryan Blaney2
9Denny Hamlin1
01046f914da173542414d014d3924f57 1
Brad Keselowski won two stages before bringing out the caution that led Kyle Busch to his second-consecutive win. (Photo: NKP)
Playoff Points if Playoffs Started Today
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Kyle Busch27
2Kevin Harvick20
3Clint Bowyer12
4Martin Truex Jr.11
5Joey Logano10
6Brad Keselowski9
7Ryan Blaney7
8Austin Dillon5
9Denny Hamlin4
10Kurt Busch3
11Kyle Larson2

Stage Points

Previous Race Results

Stage 1Stage 2
Pos.DriverPointsPos.DriverPoints
1Brad Keselowski10 (+1 Playoff Point)1Brad Keselowski10 (+1 Playoff Point)
2Ryan Newman92Kyle Busch9
3Clint Bowyer83Jimmie Johnson8
4A.J. Allmendinger74Denny Hamlin7
5Kyle Larson65Kyle Larson6
6Erik Jones56Ricky Stenhouse Jr.5
7Jimmie Johnson47Alex Bowman4
8Aric Almirola38Kevin Harvick3
9Ricky Stenhouse Jr.29Austin Dillon2
10Kurt Busch110Darrell Wallace Jr.1

Season Totals

Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Stage Points
DriverTotalsStage Wins
Brad Keselowski1003
Kyle Busch982
Kevin Harvick764*
Kurt Busch712
Joey Logano630
Martin Truex Jr.602
Kyle Larson600
Ryan Blaney512
Clint Bowyer500
Denny Hamlin481
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.260
Jimmie Johnson240
Erik Jones230
Chase Elliott200
A.J. Allmendinger200
Michael McDowell170
Aric Almirola140
Alex Bowman130
Paul Menard120
Ryan Newman90
Ty Dillon50
Darrell Wallace Jr.50
Jamie McMurray40
Austin Dillon40
Trevor Bayne30
Kasey Kahne20
Daniel Suarez10
William Byron10

*One or more stage wins ineligible due to post-race inspection failures

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