Playoff Points: Dover 2 Edition

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By Aaron Bearden, Motorsports Editor

Following each points race, Kickin’ the Tires takes a deep look at the current playoff grids for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, evaluating each team’s postseason odds and highlighting those that made steps in the right direction, as well as those who dug themselves into a hole. 

Track: Dover International Speedway

Event: Apache Warrior 400

Race Winner: Kyle Busch

Stage Winner(s): Brad Keselowski, Kyle Larson

Who Won Big

  • Kyle Busch: Is Busch becoming the new closer? The 2015 Cup Series champion chased down Chase Elliott over the final run to snag his second-consecutive victory and add five more playoff points to his total. Suddenly ‘Rowdy’ has 41 playoff points – a 33-point edge on the Round of 8 cutoff line.
  • Brad Keselowski and Kyle Larson: Neither were the star attraction on Sunday, but both Keselowski and Larson made the most of their afternoons to claim stages and snag a valuable playoff point.
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Sometimes it takes a bit of luck to make a playoff run. Stenhouse got just that on Sunday, snagging seven stage points after a timely caution flag during pit stops in Stage 1 and using those points to hold on to the final spot in the Round of 12. Now Stenhouse has a chance to play spoiler moving forward – either through points or a potential season sweep at Talladega Superspeedway.

Who Hurt Their Odds:

  • Kurt Busch: Three poor races, and Busch’s entrance to the playoffs as a dark horse turned into an early exit. Surprising.
  • Richard Childress Racing: RCR teammates Ryan Newman and Austin Dillon each made the playoffs with surprising victories during the season. It’s perhaps not a surprise, then, that both drivers were quickly dispatched in the Round of 16.
  • Kasey Kahne: An unexpected Brickyard 400 win got Kahne into the playoffs in his Hendrick Motorsports swan song, but the Washington native was never much of a factor. He exited the postseason quietly, without much hope for a postseason run during his three-race playoff trek.

Playoff Standings: 

RankDriverWins In RoundPointsPoints Ahead/Behind Cutoff
1Martin Truex Jr.0305951
2Kyle Busch0304133
3Kyle Larson0303426
4Brad Keselowski0302012
5Jimmie Johnson030179
6Kevin Harvick030157
7Denny Hamlin030135
8Ricky Stenhouse Jr.030102
Round of 8 Cutoff
9Ryan Blaney03008-2
10Chase Elliott03006-4
11Matt Kenseth03005-5
12Jamie McMurray03003-7

Where They Stand

235a5b4289de9c3b6b270aecdacf84d4 1
Kyle Busch moved closer to playoff safety with a win at Dover. (Photo: Nigel Kinrade/NKP)

Safe (For Now)

  • Martin Truex Jr.
    • Truex holds, in essence, a full race advantage on the cutoff line.

More Work to Do

  • Kyle Busch, Kyle Larson
    • Busch and Larson hold a healthy advantage over the Round of 8 cutoff line, but are one mistake away from entering the fray.

On the Bubble

  • Brad Keselowski, Jimmie Johnson, Kevin Harvick, Denny Hamlin, Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

Within Reach 

  • Ryan Blaney, Chase Elliott, Matt Kenseth, Jamie McMurray

Likely Need to Win

Playoff Points

Total Playoff Points
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Martin Truex Jr.59
3Kyle Busch41
2Kyle Larson34
4Brad Keselowski20
5Jimmie Johnson17
6Kevin Harvick15
7Jimmie Johnson13
8Ricky Stenhouse Jr.10
9Ryan Blaney8
10Chase Elliott6
11Matt Kenseth5
12Jamie McMurray3
6f2a426eea8c157ca3ce9e4b13ae0edb 1
Martin Truex Jr., Kyle Busch and Kyle Larson lead the way in playoff points. (Photo: Rusty Jarrett/NKP)
Potential Playoff Points Earned On-Track
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Martin Truex, Jr.44
3Kyle Busch33
2Kyle Larson24
4Jimmie Johnson16
5Brad Keselowski15
6Ricky Stenhouse, Jr.10
7 (tie)Ryan Blaney8
7 (tie)Kevin Harvick8
9Denny Hamlin7
10 (tie)Kurt Busch5
10 (tie)Ryan Newman5
10 (tie)Austin Dillon5
10 (tie)Kasey Kahne5
14Chase Elliott3
15Matt Kenseth2
16 (tie)Joey Logano1
16 (tie)Clint Bowyer1
16 (tie)Daniel Suarez1

Stage Points

Previous Race Results

Stage 1Stage 2
Pos.DriverPointsPos.DriverPoints
1Brad Keselowski10 (+1 Playoff Point)1Kyle Larson10 (+1 Playoff Point)
2Kyle Busch92Martin Truex Jr.9
3Martin Truex Jr.83Chase Elliott8
4Ricky Stenhouse Jr.74Kyle Busch7
5Danica Patrick65Jimmie Johnson6
6Kyle Larson56Denny Hamlin5
7Chase Elliott47Dale Earnhardt Jr.4
8Kevin Harvick38Brad Keselowski3
9David Ragan29Jamie McMurray2
10Denny Hamlin110Clint Bowyer1

Playoff Totals

Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Stage Points
DriverPlayoff Stage PointsStage Points This RoundPlayoff Stage Wins
Kyle Busch44442
Martin Truex Jr.41411
Kyle Larson40401
Brad Keselowski36361
Chase Elliott30301
Denny Hamlin2323
Kevin Harvick2222
Matt Kenseth2020
Ryan Blaney88
Ricky Stenhouse, Jr.77
Jimmie Johnson66
Kurt Busch33
Jamie McMurray22
Ryan Newman00
Austin Dillon00
Kasey Kahne00

Season Totals

Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Stage Points
DriverTotal Stage PointsStage Wins
Martin Truex Jr.47919
Kyle Larson3134
Kyle Busch30513
Kevin Harvick2483
Brad Keselowski2455
Matt Kenseth2043
Denny Hamlin1882
Ryan Blaney1753
Jimmie Johnson1751
Chase Elliott1673
Erik Jones146
Jamie McMurray138
Joey Logano1331
Kurt Busch120
Clint Bowyer871
Ryan Newman75
Dale Earnhardt Jr.57
Kasey Kahne40
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.43
Daniel Suarez231
Austin Dillon22
Trevor Bayne22
A.J. Allmendinger22
Danica Patrick26
Michael McDowell18
David Ragan9
Paul Menard7
Ty Dillon6

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