Playoff Points: Kentucky Edition

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By Aaron Bearden, Motorsports Editor

Following each regular season points race, Kickin’ the Tires takes a deep look at the current playoff grids for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, evaluating each team’s postseason odds and highlighting those that made steps in the right direction, as well as those who dug themselves into a hole. 

Track: Kentucky Speedway

Event: Quaker State 400

Race Winner: Martin Truex Jr.

Stage Winner(s): Martin Truex Jr. (Won Both Stages)

Who Won Big

  • Martin Truex Jr.: Are we sure it’s not 2017 again? Truex gave the field an old-fashioned beatdown for the second-straight year at Kentucky, winning both stages and the race. He’s now won three of the last six races, and is within five playoff points of tying Kyle Busch for the most in the series.
  • Ryan Blaney: Now that’s more like it. Blaney returned to his early-season form in the Bluegrass State, finishing second and holding 10th in the standings heading into New Hampshire Motor Speedway.
  • Paul Menard: A quiet (of course) night proved beneficial for Menard and Wood Brothers Racing. They cut their playoff gap in half, and head to New Hampshire just 23 points removed from the postseason grid.
  • Jimmie Johnson and Chase Elliott: Neither Hendrick Motorsports driver had a stellar night in Kentucky – they finished 13th and 14th – but the troubles of teammate Alex Bowman and playoff hopeful Ricky Stenhouse Jr. helped them both move a full race clear of the playoff bubble.

Who Hurt Their Odds

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Early tire woes proved disastrous for Stenhouse in Kentucky, dropping him three laps down before the end of Stage 1. Stenhouse battled back and actually gained on his playoff deficit by race’s end – oh, we’ll get to that – but he could have emerged with a spot in hand had he not had such an early letdown.
  • Alex Bowman: The show ended early for Bowman in Kentucky. Dale Earnhardt Jr.’s successor suffered his first DNF of the year after blowing a tire and smacking the wall, resulting in a 39th-place finish and a massive loss of points.

Playoff Standings: 

RankDriverWinsPointsPoints Ahead/Behind
1Kyle Busch5799381
2Kevin Harvick5*740322
3Martin Truex Jr.4689271
6Clint Bowyer2629211
4Joey Logano1648230
13Erik Jones148062
18Austin Dillon1362-56
5Brad Keselowski0630212
7Kurt Busch0601197
8Kyle Larson0581163
9Denny Hamlin0559141
10Ryan Blaney0546128
11Aric Almirola0534116
12Jimmie Johnson048466
14Chase Elliott046951
15Alex Bowman04279
Playoff Cutoff
16Ricky Stenhouse Jr.0418-9
17Paul Menard0404-23
19Ryan Newman0348-79
20Daniel Suarez0344-83
21Jamie McMurray0336-91
22William Byron0335-92
23A.J. Allmendinger0314-113
24Chris Buescher0307-120
25Darrell Wallace Jr.0302-125
26David Ragan0282-145
27Kasey Kahne0281-146
28Michael McDowell0273-154
29Ty Dillon0252-175
30Matt DiBenedetto0215-212

*One or more race wins ineligible due to post-race inspection failures.

Where They Stand

(All But) Locked In

  • Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr., Clint Bowyer, Joey Logano, Erik Jones, Austin Dillon, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, Ryan Blaney, Aric Almirola
    • Race Winners
    • Drivers up 100+ points on the playoff bubble

Safe (For Now)

  • Jimmie Johnson, Chase Elliott

More Work to Do

On the Bubble

  • Alex Bowman

Within Reach 

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Paul Menard

Likely Need to Win

  • Ryan Newman, Daniel Suarez, Jamie McMurray, William Byron, A.J. Allmendinger, Chris Buescher, Darrell Wallace Jr., David Ragan, Kasey Kahne, Michael McDowell, Ty Dillon, Matt DiBenedetto

Playoff Points

Playoff Points Earned On-Track

Playoff Points Earned On-Track
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Kyle Busch30
2Kevin Harvick27
3Martin Truex Jr.25
4Clint Bowyer10
5Joey Logano7
6 (tie)Austin Dillon5
6 (tie)Erik Jones5
8 (tie)Brad Keselowski4
8 (tie)Ryan Blaney4
10 (tie)Kurt Busch2
10 (tie)Denny Hamlin2
12 (tie)Paul Menard1
12 (tie)A.J. Allmendinger1
12 (tie)Aric Almirola1
2bdcd4c5a38023924a9fdc61e8f6b8a0 1
Martin Truex Jr. picked up his fourth win of the year at Kentucky Speedway. (Photo: NKP)
Playoff Points if Playoffs Started Today
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Kyle Busch45
2Kevin Harvick37
3Martin Truex Jr.33
4Clint Bowyer15
5Joey Logano14
6Brad Keselowski10
7Kurt Busch6
8 (tie)Austin Dillon5
8 (tie)Erik Jones5
8 (tie)Ryan Blaney5
11Denny Hamlin4
12Kyle Larson3
13Aric Almirola1

Stage Points

Previous Race Results

Stage 1Stage 2
Pos.DriverPointsPos.DriverPoints
1Martin Truex Jr.10 (+1 Playoff Point)1Martin Truex Jr.10 (+1 Playoff Point)
2Kevin Harvick92Kyle Busch9
3Kyle Busch83Ryan Blaney8
4Ryan Blaney74Kevin Harvick7
5Paul Menard65Kyle Larson6
6Clint Bowyer56Clint Bowyer5
7Daniel Suarez47Kurt Busch4
8Kyle Larson38Joey Logano3
9Aric Almirola29Erik Jones2
10Chase Elliott110Paul Menard1

Season Totals

Pos.DriverTotalsStage Wins
1Kyle Busch2235
2Kevin Harvick1939
3Brad Keselowski1894
4Kyle Larson1531
5Martin Truex Jr.1485
6Ryan Blaney1474
7Kurt Busch1452
8Clint Bowyer1340
9Joey Logano1262
10Denny Hamlin962
11Chase Elliott750
12 (tie)Jimmie Johnson730
12 (tie)Aric Almirola731
14Ricky Stenhouse Jr.592
15 (tie)Erik Jones410
15 (tie)Paul Menard411
17A.J. Allmendinger301
18 (tie)Ryan Newman270
18 (tie)William Byron270
18 (tie)Alex Bowman270
21Michael McDowell260
22Daniel Suarez200
23Kasey Kahne140
24Jamie McMurray130
25Austin Dillon120
26Ty Dillon110
27David Ragan80
28 (tie)Darrell Wallace Jr.50
28 (tie)Trevor Bayne50
30Chris Buescher40

*One or more stage wins ineligible due to post-race inspection failures

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