Playoff Points: Michigan Edition

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By Aaron Bearden, Motorsports Editor

Following each regular season points race, Kickin’ the Tires takes a deep look at the current playoff grids for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, evaluating each team’s postseason odds and highlighting those that made steps in the right direction, as well as those who dug themselves into a hole. 

Track: Michigan International Speedway

Event: FireKeepers Casino 400

Race Winner: Clint Bowyer

Stage Winner(s): Ryan Blaney, Kevin Harvick

Who Won Big

  • Clint Bowyer: The party’s on, and it’s likely lasting through the off-week. Bowyer earned his second win of 2018 at Michigan, adding five playoff points and a surge of momentum as his Stewart-Haas Racing team enters the summer stretch.
  • Kevin Harvick: So he didn’t win. Harvick still claimed a stage, finished second and closed in narrowly on points leader Kyle Busch. That’s a successful weekend, all things told.
  • Paul Menard: Few drivers needed a top five quite like Paul Menard. The Wood Brothers Racing veteran finished fifth in the Irish Hills, rising to within four points of the playoff bubble in the process.

Who Hurt Their Odds

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Drivers on the playoff bubble have little margin for error by the time summer arrives. It’s unfortunate for Stenhouse, then, that he tallied a 29th-place finish in Michigan. The run dropped the two-time Cup winner out of the current playoff grid – albeit only by four points – heading into the off weekend.
  • Kyle Larson: What Larson hoped would be a fourth-consecutive Michigan win instead ended in a 28th-place finish after a mid-race crash. As a result the Californian goes into Father’s Day weekend winless, 10th in points with no playoff bid secured. His odds of making the postseason are strong, but Larson will need some wins to give himself enough playoff points for a fighting chance at the title.

Playoff Standings: 

RankDriverWinsPointsPoints Ahead/Behind
1Kyle Busch4664337
2Kevin Harvick5*589262
5Clint Bowyer2510183
6Martin Truex Jr.2506179
3Joey Logano1566239
18Austin Dillon1292-35
4Brad Keselowski0514187
7Kurt Busch0493166
8Denny Hamlin0468141
9Ryan Blaney0457130
10Kyle Larson0443116
11Aric Almirola0433106
12Jimmie Johnson037750
13Chase Elliott036235
14Erik Jones034619
15Alex Bowman03314
Playoff Cutoff
16 (tie)Ricky Stenhouse Jr.0327-4
16 (tie)Paul Menard0327-4
19Jamie McMurray0283-48
20William Byron0277-54
21Daniel Suarez0265-66
22Ryan Newman0257-74
23A.J. Allmendinger0249-82
24Darrell Wallace Jr.0247-84
25David Ragan0225-106
26Chris Buescher0217-114
27Michael McDowell0205-126
28Kasey Kahne0201-130
29Ty Dillon0194-137
30Matt DiBenedetto0156-175

*One or more race wins ineligible due to post-race inspection failures.

Where They Stand

(All But) Locked In

  • Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr., Joey Logano, Clint Bowyer, Austin Dillon, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch
    • Race Winners
    • Drivers up 150+ points on the playoff bubble

Safe (For Now)

  • Denny Hamlin, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Larson, Aric Almirola

More Work to Do

  • Jimmie Johnson

On the Bubble

  • Chase Elliott, Erik Jones, Alex Bowman

Within Reach 

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Paul Menard, Jamie McMurray, William Byron, Daniel Suarez, Ryan Newman

Likely Need to Win

  • A.J. Allmendinger, Darrell Wallace Jr., David Ragan, Chris Buescher, Michael McDowell, Kasey Kahne, Ty Dillon, Matt DiBenedetto

Playoff Points

Playoff Points Earned On-Track
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Kevin Harvick26
2Kyle Busch25
3Martin Truex Jr.13
4Clint Bowyer10
5Joey Logano7
6Austin Dillon5
7 (tie)Brad Keselowski4
7 (tie)Ryan Blaney4
9Kurt Busch2
10 (tie)Denny Hamlin1
10 (tie)Paul Menard1
4064bebfc35584c0034a133ea9769578 1
Clint Bowyer secured his first multi-win season since 2012 at Michigan International Speedway. (Photo: NKP)
Playoff Points if Playoffs Started Today
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Kyle Busch40
2Kevin Harvick36
3Martin Truex Jr.18
4Clint Bowyer16
5Joey Logano15
6Brad Keselowski11
7 (tie)Kurt Busch6
7 (tie)Ryan Blaney6
9Austin Dillon5
10Denny Hamlin4
11Kyle Larson1

Stage Points

Previous Race Results

Stage 1Stage 2
Pos.DriverPointsPos.DriverPoints
1Ryan Blaney10 (+1 Playoff Point)1Kevin Harvick10 (+1 Playoff Point)
2Kyle Larson92Clint Bowyer9
3Clint Bowyer83Kurt Busch8
4Kevin Harvick74Kyle Busch7
5Denny Hamlin65Paul Menard6
6Brad Keselowski56Ryan Blaney5
7Kurt Busch47Brad Keselowski4
8William Byron38Jamie McMurray3
9Joey Logano29Erik Jones2
10Aric Almirola110William Byron1

Season Totals

PositionDriverTotalsStage Wins
1Kyle Busch1975
2Kevin Harvick1618*
3Brad Keselowski1604
4Clint Bowyer1210
5Kurt Busch1202
6Joey Logano1192
7Ryan Blaney1164
8Martin Truex Jr.1133
9Kyle Larson1091
10Denny Hamlin841
11 (tie)Jimmie Johnson520
11 (tie)Aric Almirola520
13Chase Elliott460
14Ricky Stenhouse Jr.390
15Erik Jones380
16Paul Menard341
17 (tie)A.J. Allmendinger200
17 (tie)William Byron200
19Michael McDowell170
20Ryan Newman160
21Alex Bowman140
22 (tie)Daniel Suarez130
22 (tie)Jamie McMurray130
24Austin Dillon70
25Kasey Kahne60
26 (tie)Ty Dillon50
26 (tie)Darrell Wallace Jr.50
26 (tie)David Ragan50
29Trevor Bayne30

*One or more stage wins ineligible due to post-race inspection failures

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