COLUMN: Talladega Creates Chaotic Bettin’ Odds But Nice Payouts

By Jerry Jordan, Editor

Be thankful I took a couple of weeks off from writing my Bettin’ column because I wouldn’t have picked a winner at Bristol or Texas but this week, at Talladega Superspeedway, I feel confident about giving you three strong chances to visit the payout window at your favorite sportsbook.

If you are a Chase Elliott fan, that’s great, but just because the oddsmakers have him as the NASCAR favorite doesn’t make him a good bet. If you truly want to know the best bet on winning at Talladega, you have to go with the driver having the best odds and who is consistently in the running at the end of the race.

For me, the favorite to win this week is Joey Logano (+1200). Don’t let the fact that he qualified outside the Top 20 concern you. Logano has three wins at Talladega and a tendency to be in contention for a win. Of the group of overall favorites from the WynnBET Sportsbook – sharing +1200 odds – are Elliott, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Ryan Blaney, William Byron and Logano. Still, you could conceivably bet any one of those drivers and have a shot for the win.

Talladega superspeedway always brings nice odds, so taking brad keselowski at +2000 is a good bet. Photo by nigel kinrade/nkp
Brad Keselowski’s odds to win at Talladega Superspeedway are +2000. Photo by Nigel Kinrade/NKP

If you’re looking for a driver with a little longer odds, you know, a better payout, then go with Brad Keselowski. Sure, it’s a rebuilding year for Roush Fenway Keselowski Racing but look at what’s been going on for the past few weeks with that team. A win, a pole, running at the front. RFK may not “be there” yet but they are moving up the ladder and at +2000, Keselowski would make a nice return on your investment.

When I was talking with Michael McDowell earlier this week, he said, there is a reason why certain drivers are always around to compete for the win at Talladega. It’s not because they are lucky, it’s because they have figured something out. Keselowski has the most wins (six) at Talladega of any active driver, which is why I am betting on him this week.

And speaking of McDowell, the folks at Front Row Motorsports have shown they have speed. Plus, McDowell is one of those drivers who are usually around at the end of the race. He has a win in the Daytona 500 and his runs are consistent. In fact, it’s almost like he hits his peak performance on superspeedway and road courses. If you want a chance at building your bankroll on a supposed longshot bet, taking McDowell at +4000 is your chance. I don’t consider McDowell a long shot.

As an aside, pay close attention to the matchups this week. There are solid bets that could help you double your money … if you are smart. Pay attention and look at the results from previous races and take your shot. Talladega has always been a solid payday for me. One last thing, Corey LaJoie is +10000 and I put $2 on him just in case.

Remember, my suggestions are based on what I see at the track and from past performances by drivers. It’s called gambling for a reason and there is no guarantee the drivers I pick will end up in victory lane. If you can’t afford to bet, then don’t. And if you aren’t 21 years of age, you cannot legally gamble, so don’t even think about it. Should you have a problem with sports betting or other forms of gaming, you can get help at 1-800-522-4700.

Talladega Superspeedway Race Day Odds
Chase Elliott +1200
Denny Hamlin +1200
Joey Logano +1200
Kyle Larson +1200
Ryan Blaney +1200
William Byron +1200
Austin Cindric +1500
Ross Chastain +1500
Tyler Reddick +1500
Bubba Wallace Jr +1800
Christopher Bell +1800
Kyle Busch +1800
Brad Keselowski +2000
Kevin Harvick +2000
Martin Truex Jr +2000
Noah Gragson +2000
Austin Dillon +2500
Daniel Suarez +2500
Aric Almirola +3000
Chase Briscoe +3000
Chris Buescher +3000
Eirk Jones +3000
Michael McDowell +4000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +4000
Justin Haley +5000
Ty Gibbs +5000
Cole Custer +7500
Corey Lajoie +10000
Daniel Hemric +10000
Harrison Burton +12500
Todd Gilliland +15000
Ty Dillon +15000
BJ McLeod +40000
Cody Ware +40000
JJ Yeley +40000
Landon Cassill +40000

 

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