Playoff Points: Texas Edition

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By Aaron Bearden, Motorsports Editor

Following each regular season points race, Kickin’ the Tires takes a deep look at the current playoff grids for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, evaluating each team’s postseason odds and highlighting those that made steps in the right direction, as well as those who dug themselves into a hole. 

Track: Texas Motor Speedway

Event: O’Reilly Auto Parts 500

Race Winner: Kyle Busch

Stage Winner(s): Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch

Who Won Big

  • Kyle Busch: It was only a matter of time. Busch finally capitalize on his consistent speed in recent weeks to best Kevin Harvick and earn his first Cup win of 2018. The Nevadan also won a stage, giving him six new playoff points to take into the postseason.
  • Kevin Harvick: He had about as many pit road issues as the Texas Longhorns had Big 12 wins, but in the end Harvick still managed to claim a stage and finish second, keeping his strong position in the standings and earning yet another playoff point to carry into his title pursuit.
  • Jamie McMurray: Talk about a much-needed performance. McMurray has made the playoffs in each of the past three seasons, but he entered Texas 26th and well away from the playoff bubble. One third-place run later the Chip Ganassi Racing veteran finds himself 23rd, with the bubble within sight.
  • Young Guns: Sophomore Erik Jones and rookies Darrell Wallace Jr. and William Byron all strengthened their playoff resumes on Sunday. Jones finished fourth to rise to 11th in the standings. Byron rose to 18th with his first top 10 in 10th, and Wallace followed in 19th after an eighth-place run.

Who Hurt Their Odds

  • The Last Two Champions: Between a flat tire and a mid-race crash, Texas proved unwelcoming for the Cup Series’ last two champions. Martin Truex Jr. finished 37th after a vicious tire blowout, and Jimmie Johnson was only two spots better at race’s end after a crash. With his early win Truex could afford the issue. Johnson, on the other had, now finds himself 21st in the standings without an automatic playoff berth.
  • A Host of Other Contenders: Kyle Larson. Denny Hamlin. Brad Keselowski. Ryan Newman. All four drivers made the playoffs last year, and all four drivers were eliminated by early crashes in Texas. Throw in Aric Almirola, Paul Menard, Daniel Suarez and Alex Bowman, and a host of postseason hopefuls were left disappointed leaving the Lone Star State.

Playoff Standings: 

RankDriverWinsPointsPoints Ahead/Behind
4Kevin Harvick3**257112
1Kyle Busch1316171
5Martin Truex Jr.1250105
6Clint Bowyer1249104
13Austin Dillon115914
2Joey Logano0278133
3Ryan Blaney0265120
7Brad Keselowski023792
8Kurt Busch022479
9Denny Hamlin022277
10Kyle Larson020257
11Erik Jones019348
12Aric Almirola017732
14Alex Bowman01549
15Chase Elliott01483
16Paul Menard01461
Playoff Cutoff
17Ryan Newman0145-1
18William Byron0135-11
19Darrell Wallace Jr.0126-20
20 (tie)A.J. Allmendinger0123-23
20 (tie)Jimmie Johnson0123-23
20 (tie)Ricky Stenhouse Jr.0123-23
23Jamie McMurray0122-24
24Chris Buescher0118-28
25Michael McDowell0114-32
26Daniel Suarez0108-38
27 (tie)Kasey Kahne098-48
27 (tie)Trevor Bayne097-49
29David Ragan092-54
30Ty Dillon086-60

*Technically ineligible due to missed races. Would require a waiver.
**One or more race wins ineligible due to post-race inspection failures.

Where They Stand

766f7702629de4e9e6e8b5b10ae238ee 1
Kyle Busch leads the standings after this Texas Motor Speedway win. (Photo: NKP)

(All But) Locked In

  • Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr., Clint Bowyer, Austin Dillon
    • Race Winners

Safe (For Now)

  • Joey Logano, Ryan Blaney, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson

More Work to Do

  • Erik Jones, Aric Almirola

On the Bubble

  • Alex Bowman, Chase Elliott, Paul Menard

Within Reach 

  • Ryan Newman, William Byron, Darrell Wallace Jr., A.J. Allmendinger, Jimmie Johnson, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Jamie McMurray, Chris Buescher, Michael McDowell, Daniel Suarez

Likely Need to Win

  • Kasey Kahne, Trevor Bayne, David Ragan, Ty Dillon

Playoff Points

Potential Playoff Points Earned On-Track
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Kevin Harvick12
2 (tie)Martin Truex Jr.7
2 (tie)Kyle Busch7
4 (tie)Austin Dillon5
4 (tie)Clint Bowyer5
6 (tie)Kurt Busch2
6 (tie)Ryan Blaney2
8 (tie)Brad Keselowski1
8 (tie)Denny Hamlin1
4e53e12284bd3a51f3fdd2527b9d188d 1
Kevin Harvick scored another stage point in No Limits, Texas. (Photo: NKP) 
Playoff Points if Playoffs Started Today
RankDriverPlayoff Points
1Kyle Busch22
2Kevin Harvick19
3Martin Truex Jr.13
4 (tie)Ryan Blaney10
4 (tie)Clint Bowyer10
4 (tie)Joey Logano10
7 (tie)Brad Keselowski5
7 (tie)Austin Dillon5
7 (tie)Kurt Busch5
10Denny Hamlin3
11Kyle Larson1

Stage Points

Previous Race Results

Stage 1Stage 2
Pos.DriverPointsPos.DriverPoints
1Kevin Harvick10 (+1 Playoff Point)1Kyle Busch10 (+1 Playoff Point)
2Kyle Busch92Kurt Busch9
3Kurt Busch83Joey Logano8
4Joey Logano74Erik Jones7
5Kyle Larson65Clint Bowyer6
6Clint Bowyer56Chase Elliott5
7Jamie McMurray47Brad Keselowski4
8Brad Keselowski38Ricky Stenhouse Jr.3
9Chase Elliott29Denny Hamlin2
10Erik Jones110Aric Almirola1

Season Totals

Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Stage Points
DriverTotalsStage Wins
Kyle Busch892
Brad Keselowski801
Kevin Harvick734*
Kurt Busch702
Joey Logano630
Martin Truex Jr.602
Ryan Blaney512
Kyle Larson480
Clint Bowyer420
Denny Hamlin411
Chase Elliott200
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.190
Erik Jones180
Michael McDowell170
A.J. Allmendinger130
Paul Menard120
Jimmie Johnson120
Aric Almirola110
Alex Bowman90
Ty Dillon50
Darrell Wallace Jr.40
Jamie McMurray40
Trevor Bayne30
Austin Dillon20
Kasey Kahne20
Daniel Suarez10
William Byron10

*One or more stage wins ineligible due to post-race inspection failures

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